Can Indy beat Denver by 21 points?

quantumleap · Jan 9, 2005

Denver is currently at +10. Having them with 1 leg of a 3-team teaser would tease them to +20. Can Indy beat any team in a playoff by that many points?

Hitman26 · Jan 9, 2005

QL:

This is the NFL, and anything can happen. Pinnace has MOV props and Indy -20.5 pays +300. Now if the true line were to pay +350 (I'm estimating here but I can assure you it's pretty damn close to this) that would put the percentage, of an Indy win by more than 20.5 points, at around 22%.

I hope this makes sense to you
Hitman

quantumleap · Jan 9, 2005

Yes, Hitman, that makes sense.

However, I believe that would be accurate for a regular-season game. I would think it would be less for a playoff game where the teams play closer.

I am also looking at taking Minnesota at +16.5. As bad as the Vikings suck, they play well for most of the game only to lose it later on.

Any ideas for a 3rd leg of a 10-point teaser?

Hitman26 · Jan 9, 2005

No I hate teasers. I've had terrble luck with them in the past. If you can't decide ask your book to keep a leg or both legs open till next weekend's games. That will give you eight more lines to pick from.

Goodluck what every you decide
Hitman

Packerfan43630 · Jan 9, 2005

You have to remember all of Peyton Manning's big games in his career even going back to when he was a Tennessee Vol.....DID HE EVER WIN A HUGE GAME?????

I know he kicked ass this season in the regular season, but the is a new season and I would not doubt if Manning lays an egg today......IF Indy wins, I am posting right now that he will lay an egg next week.

GL to you!!

quantumleap · Jan 9, 2005

Good points guys. Thanks for the input.

Kegler · Jan 9, 2005

I look for Indy to come out throwing and to keep pouring it on so they don't have to worry about a come from behind game like yesterday. I can see them easily winning by 21 or more. JMO. GL on your play.

parman · Jan 9, 2005

Hey Kegler,

I agree with you...I played Indy first half -6 last night but am now worried.
The books seem to be staying pat on the line and adjusting the odds ie. -110 to -130. Don't the books usually want to keep the betting as even as possible and just take the juice? So why are they continuing to take Indy money? It seems like they want to take it...

Let me know what you think...

locker8 · Jan 9, 2005

last year was 41-10 i know that was last year but i guess what i am trying to say is yes, and i believe you will be on the edge of you seat to find out. gl